SYDNEY - The South African cricket team can fancy its chances of beating the Australians for the first time on their home soil for four very solid reasons. According to the Sydney Morning Herald, the hosts, who have won 122 matches and lost only 36 since 1991, are more vulnerable now than ever before because of: 1. Big-name recent retirements i.e. Justin Langer, Shane Warne, Glenn McGrath, Adam Gilchrist and Darren Lehmann. 2. They lack a credible spinning option, having already tried rookies Jason Krejza, Beau Casson, Nathan Hauritz, Bryce McGain, besides veteran Cameron White. It shows that the selectors cannot make up their minds on Australia's strike spinner. 3. Australia's preparation has been questionable in the wake of their defeat to India in an away series. 4.South Africa have been unbeaten in their last nine Test series, which suggests that their confidence is sky high and this is the series they've been waiting for. However, the reasons for the Australians being confident about their chances of defeating South Africa are: 1. South Africa's preparation for the series being no better. 2. None of their top order has scored consistently against Australia and only two current players have scored a century against Australia. 3. South Africa's over dependence on pacer Dale Steyn. 4. The danger of Matthew Hayden and Andrew Symonds firing against them after an indifferent series against New Zealand.